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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.7% 90.3% +12.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +11 (84-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Max Mackinnon 38 9-16 3-6 6-6 4 4 2 0 1 27 20 +4.6
Jalen Reece 32 2-9 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 6 2 +4.9
Marquel Sutton 31 5-11 1-3 2-2 6 0 0 1 3 13 6 -5.6
Mazi Mosley 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 3 4 +8.4
Michael Nwoko 22 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 1 3 6 7 -2.9
Pablo Tamba 19 3-5 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 3 6 3 -2.0
Robert Miller III 17 3-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 1 1 9 9 +4.6
Rashad King 11 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 3 4 -7.4
PJ Carter 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.9

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Tanner 36 7-18 0-5 6-7 3 3 3 0 4 20 7 -2.1
Tyler Nickel 35 6-12 4-10 3-3 10 1 0 2 0 19 20 +12.1
AK Okereke 34 5-7 1-2 1-2 1 0 3 0 0 12 9 +1.8
Duke Miles 27 4-10 1-5 8-8 1 5 1 0 2 17 12 +11.0
Jalen Washington 26 3-5 1-2 4-5 8 1 2 2 0 11 19 -3.3
Devin McGlockton 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 9 0 1 2 0 4 11 +7.9
Mike James 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 +7.1
Chandler Bing 7 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -11.6
Tyler Harris 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.8

* = starter