Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +24 (92-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard | 37 | 7-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 8 | -13.1 |
| Jayden Epps | 33 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -14.0 |
| Achor Achor | 29 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2.2 |
| Quincy Ballard | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -19.6 |
| Sergej Macura | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -7.5 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -7.1 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.4 |
| Brandon Walker | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -11.6 |
| King Grace | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Amier Ali | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Dellquan Warren | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Aberdeen | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +12.7 |
| Otega Oweh | 32 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Kam Williams | 30 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 12 | +29.5 |
| Malachi Moreno | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | +16.0 |
| Collin Chandler | 19 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +9.0 |
| A. Jelavić | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.9 |
| Brandon Garrison | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Jasper Johnson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +14.3 |
| Jaland Lowe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Zach Tow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Walker Horn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Trent Noah | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
* = starter