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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Log Adjusted 10.8% 89.2% -
Points Off/Def 23.9% 76.1% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -3 (98-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Epps 41 9-21 3-12 6-7 3 5 1 0 3 27 12 +12.8
J. Hubbard 40 10-31 6-17 12-15 3 3 0 0 2 38 11 +5.2
S. Macura 30 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 7 10 +21.4
Q. Ballard 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 2 6 -4.1
S. Jones Jr. 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 1 4 8 +2.9
A. Achor 24 3-5 0-1 4-5 13 1 0 3 0 10 22 -6.0
J. McGhee 21 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 7 1 -0.3
B. Walker 12 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 3 +8.3
J. Davis-Fleming 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 0 5 +3.3

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Swain 37 10-18 2-6 12-15 14 3 1 0 3 34 31 +5.6
T. Mark 37 8-17 2-6 2-4 3 1 2 1 0 20 10 -7.3
M. Vokietaitis 34 3-5 0-0 13-18 4 0 0 0 1 19 17 -8.8
C. Weaver 32 4-5 1-1 0-1 4 0 2 0 0 9 10 -1.2
J. Pope 27 4-13 1-8 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 9 -3 -6.3
S. Wilcher 26 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 3 7 7 -7.5
C. Heide 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -11.7
L. Traore 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 3 +2.5

* = starter