Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | +12.1 | ✗ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✗ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -3 (98-101). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Epps * | 41 | 9-21 | 3-12 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 12 | +9.2 |
| Josh Hubbard * | 40 | 10-31 | 6-17 | 12-15 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 11 | +8.7 |
| Sergej Macura * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +23.8 |
| Quincy Ballard * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.9 |
| Achor Achor | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 22 | -5.4 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Brandon Walker | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +7.9 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | +1.9 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tramon Mark * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 10 | -6.1 |
| Dailyn Swain * | 37 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 12-15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 31 | +6.9 |
| Matas Vokietaitis * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 13-18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | -5.7 |
| Jordan Pope * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -3 | -2.4 |
| Camden Heide * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Chendall Weaver | 32 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Lassina Traore | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.7 |
* = starter