🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 44.0% 56.0% +1.3 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Log Adjusted 53.9% 46.1% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +11 (86-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gillespie 35 5-15 2-7 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 14 6 +0.6
N. Ament 32 4-9 0-1 5-11 3 3 2 0 1 13 11 -0.3
F. Okpara 31 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 2 1 3 9 -7.3
A. Evans 23 7-7 1-1 1-2 3 1 3 0 1 16 15 -3.8
B. Boswell 21 2-3 1-2 1-2 4 3 2 0 0 6 12 -0.1
D. Brown II 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 1 +6.2
J. Carey 16 3-8 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -3.8
A. Abram 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 1 -10.0
J.P. Estrella 10 3-3 1-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 9 10 -0.2
E. Burg 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -5.2

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brazile 38 3-10 0-5 1-2 7 0 2 1 2 7 5 +3.2
D. Acuff Jr. 36 9-16 3-7 8-9 3 4 1 1 4 29 18 +0.1
M. Thomas 30 6-13 3-4 3-3 3 1 3 0 1 18 11 +18.5
K. Knox 27 3-8 1-5 4-5 7 0 1 1 1 11 11 +10.9
M. Ewin 27 2-4 0-0 8-8 6 0 1 4 4 12 15 +10.7
B. Richmond III 15 2-5 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 -2.9
D.J. Wagner 14 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 2 1 2 4 -4.0
N. Pringle 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 -3.7

* = starter