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2025-11-13

Model Predictions

Model SE Louisiana Lady Lions Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 21.2% 78.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% - โœ“
Margin 0.4% 99.6% +29.9 โœ“ (21.9 off)
Pythagorean 10.1% 89.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SE Louisiana Lady Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Natalie Huff 33 3-14 0-1 7-10 4 2 1 1 2 13 5 -7.8
Aliyah Collins 32 3-13 3-5 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 10 2 -2.7
Taylor Ross 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 0 11 -13.4
Mari Dangerfield 28 5-10 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 14 9 -5.7
Eryn McKinzie 25 4-9 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 2 1 12 9 -6.1
Mia Ramos 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 4 -5 -1.2
Taylor Wilkins 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 0 -2.8
Bethany Graves 12 2-3 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 0 7 12 +7.5
Erynn Williams 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.8
Fatime Seck 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +4.1
Aisha Marten-Coney 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +5.1

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taleyah Jones 36 8-18 3-6 2-2 6 3 1 1 1 21 13 +3.9
Emily Robinson 34 4-8 2-3 2-3 4 3 1 1 1 12 12 +8.9
Bonnie Deas 22 0-7 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 0 4 2 0 -1.6
Maria Anais Rodriguez 22 4-10 0-1 2-2 9 0 1 0 0 10 10 -14.1
Harmonie Ware 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -19.4
Ashlynn Chlarson 14 2-6 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 0 7 10 +7.5
Maryn Archer 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 2 3 -5.0
Jada Bates 13 1-4 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 +1.5
Jenna Lawrence 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 +11.6
C. Sanchez Cerqueira 9 2-2 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 3 7 4 +6.2
Danika Galea 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +7.8

* = starter