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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 49.8% 50.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 โœ“ (23.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -24 (61-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Lockett 30 9-18 5-8 0-0 7 2 0 0 3 23 11 +18.9
Hayden Wood 26 6-12 0-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 12 7 +15.9
Jason Thirdkill Jr. 25 4-5 0-1 3-3 9 0 2 1 0 11 18 -
Donovan Rivers 23 3-10 0-0 4-6 9 1 0 2 2 10 10 +4.1
Jaylen Jones 23 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 9 3 0 2 7 17 +10.0
Chris Arias 22 5-6 2-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 12 12 +7.0
Evan Sterck 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 4 2 -3 +6.8
Enrico Borio 15 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 6 6 +3.0
Charles Caporaso 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 +14.0
Jaylen Jordon 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +5.0
Roman Loux 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.9
Michael Harper 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.9

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kamrin Oriol 39 8-16 3-7 3-4 3 3 1 1 6 22 8 -23.4
Kent Jackson 33 1-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -11.7
Mason Lee 27 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 6 6 -9.4
BJ Plummer 26 2-6 1-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 6 4 -23.4
Dalton Gayman 25 4-12 1-4 2-4 6 0 0 0 1 11 4 -16.7
Nestor Dyachok 24 3-4 0-1 7-9 2 0 2 2 2 13 13 -21.3
Devin Hines 13 0-4 0-0 0-1 2 1 3 0 1 0 1 -11.3
Dante Oliver 9 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 -1.1
Trey Cady 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Taylor Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter