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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 59.0% 41.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 66.2% 33.8% -3.7 (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 63.2% 36.8% -
Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 77.1% 22.9% -
Points Off/Def 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: Stetson Hatters +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Konieczny 38 6-16 2-5 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 17 7 -
R. Barno 38 7-10 1-1 5-6 2 4 1 0 1 20 16 -12.7
I. Malone 35 5-9 1-2 4-6 5 1 3 2 1 15 16 -8.2
M. Duax 32 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 2 2 6 10 -5.8
J. Ellerbee 25 1-10 0-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 2 -5 -10.5
D. Williams 22 1-7 1-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -2.4
J. Reddick 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 +2.0
G. Washington III 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.0
M. McCarthy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Copeland 38 9-14 4-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 0 22 17 +12.4
J. Johnson 37 6-8 3-4 2-3 2 2 0 0 4 17 9 +8.6
C. Sirmans III 32 3-8 2-4 2-2 2 9 1 0 3 10 11 +19.7
F. Sheridan 31 3-5 1-2 2-3 8 3 0 1 2 9 14 +7.5
C. Kuhl 26 4-7 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 0 3 10 11 -
A. Doyle 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 2 5 +3.3
M. Diop 13 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 +2.1
D. Macgregor 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 4 -6.8

* = starter