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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.5 โœ“ (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.9% 57.1% - โœ“

Actual: Stetson Hatters +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
BJ Plummer 32 2-4 1-3 0-1 4 2 0 0 1 5 6 -1.0
Kamrin Oriol 32 7-14 3-9 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 17 7 -6.5
Mason Lee 31 4-6 2-3 2-3 9 2 1 0 2 12 16 +3.2
Kent Jackson 31 3-13 2-9 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 10 -1 -3.2
Dalton Gayman 28 5-11 1-2 3-3 6 1 2 1 0 14 13 -10.0
Nestor Dyachok 21 4-5 0-0 2-5 4 1 2 0 0 10 12 -4.7
Devin Hines 11 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -6.9
Dante Oliver 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +3.1
Taylor Thompson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 +2.0

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jake Johnson 37 3-9 2-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 5 +6.3
Ethan Copeland 32 4-10 3-7 4-6 5 4 0 0 3 15 11 +14.1
Finley Sheridan 29 8-11 3-6 0-0 8 0 0 1 0 19 17 +0.5
C. Kuhl 28 6-12 0-1 1-3 12 1 1 1 2 13 14 -
Daniel Macgregor 24 2-8 2-5 2-2 3 8 2 0 2 8 11 +3.4
Calvin Sirmans Iii 23 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 5 3 -6.1
Matar Diop 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -6.2
Alex Doyle 13 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 3 -0.4

* = starter