Model Predictions
| Model | Central Arkansas Bears | Stetson Hatters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Stetson Hatters -12 (76-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Central Arkansas Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Moore | 35 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Camren Hunter | 32 | 9-16 | 6-12 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 28 | - |
| Ty Robinson | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Javion Guy-King | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Malchiah Marable | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cole McCormick | 20 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Truman Byrne | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Harrison Beauchamp | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Parker Applegate | 6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Copeland | 38 | 9-18 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Finley Sheridan | 34 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Calvin Sirmans Iii | 30 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Matar Diop | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jake Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Alex Doyle | 19 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Daniel Macgregor | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Janusz Ratowski | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.R. Leonard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter