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2026-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 15.7% 84.3% +9.3 โœ“ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.6% 68.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% - โœ“

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Donald 34 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 0 3 6 -5.9
Jack Karasinski 29 10-18 4-6 6-6 4 1 0 0 0 30 17 +2.5
Kenyon Goodin 24 0-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -6.1
Brian Waddell 23 3-8 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 6 3 -18.6
Tyler Doyle 22 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 0 1 8 8 -10.6
Jacob Wassler 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 8 6 -4.2
Myles Watkins 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -0.2
Donovan Hunter 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 4 -11.5
Grant Whitaker 12 3-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 7 3 -8.1
Michael Wilson Jr. 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3.6
Tommy Clark 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.1
Darrius Bolden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1
Grant Neal 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Parker 36 8-14 2-3 4-5 7 4 1 2 1 22 21 +16.4
Zyree Collins 32 2-9 1-4 11-11 4 14 1 0 2 16 24 +14.1
Ja'Corey Robinson 27 5-5 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 11 12 +15.0
Anton Brookshire 26 4-6 4-6 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 13 8 +1.4
Tate McCubbin 24 3-7 3-6 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 11 7 +1.6
Rashaud Marshall 22 3-4 0-0 5-6 2 0 0 1 1 11 9 +5.8
Creighton Morisch 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 4 8 +3.5
Travis Torain 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -2.3
Tyler Wagner 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.2

* = starter