Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | Bellarmine Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bellarmine Knights +21 (92-71). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Johnson * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -11.4 |
| Ethan Copeland * | 31 | 6-15 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | -10.4 |
| Collin Kuhl * | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -22.6 |
| Finley Sheridan * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Calvin Sirmans III * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -19.0 |
| Daniel Macgregor | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -8.8 |
| Alex Doyle | 17 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Matar Diop | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| J.R. Leonard | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Janusz Ratowski | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.8 |
| Miller McGowan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Ben Gladieux | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Bellarmine Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Goodin * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +20.6 |
| Tyler Doyle * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Jack Karasinski * | 26 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +13.2 |
| Brian Waddell * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +4.7 |
| Sam Donald * | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Michael Wilson Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Donovan Hunter | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +9.3 |
| Jacob Wassler | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +5.0 |
| Myles Watkins | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Grant Whitaker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Darrius Bolden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Tommy Clark | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Grant Neal | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
* = starter