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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Stetson Hatters North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 52.3% 47.7% -0.5 (6.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% -
Efficiency 11.9% 88.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.8% 45.2% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% -

Actual: North Florida Ospreys -7 (77-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson 38 5-12 3-7 3-4 3 1 1 0 2 16 7 +4.4
E. Copeland 38 8-13 6-9 3-6 9 2 1 0 0 25 24 +4.1
F. Sheridan 30 2-7 0-3 1-1 6 3 0 2 0 5 9 +13.1
C. Kuhl 29 11-16 0-0 1-2 11 0 0 0 1 23 17 +1.1
C. Sirmans III 28 2-9 1-4 0-1 2 11 2 0 1 5 10 +16.2
D. Macgregor 19 1-3 0-0 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 6 7 -10.8
A. Doyle 13 1-4 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -5.5
J. Ratowski 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.8
J. Leonard 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.9
S. Morgan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Oriol 40 3-12 0-4 6-6 4 5 1 0 4 12 6 -5.7
K. Jackson 36 7-14 5-11 1-2 2 4 0 0 0 20 12 -7.6
M. Lee 31 5-8 1-3 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 11 8 -8.1
D. Gayman 27 7-11 0-1 4-5 10 3 1 0 2 18 19 +3.3
B. Plummer 24 2-8 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 2 -11.6
D. Hines 18 3-4 2-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 10 10 +9.4
N. Dyachok 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.7
D. Oliver 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3.9
T. Cady 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3.0
G. Jacobs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter