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2026-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights North Florida Ospreys Spread Result
Elo 59.6% 40.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Margin 66.5% 33.5% -3.8 โœ— (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.4% 27.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.5% 43.5% - โœ—

Actual: North Florida Ospreys +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Goodin 41 5-11 4-9 4-4 6 3 1 0 1 18 16 -4.6
Tyler Doyle 39 8-11 0-0 1-3 2 8 0 0 0 17 16 -13.1
Brian Waddell 37 12-20 2-6 0-0 3 5 0 1 0 26 15 -10.9
Jack Karasinski 36 7-11 0-2 9-10 3 2 1 0 2 23 16 -5.8
Sam Donald 32 8-10 5-6 1-1 3 2 1 0 1 22 17 -9.7
Donovan Hunter 13 0-4 0-3 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 -2 -5.1
Jacob Wassler 10 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -5.0
Michael Wilson Jr. 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -5.2
Darrius Bolden 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Myles Watkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.2
Grant Whitaker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.4

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kamrin Oriol 42 10-15 3-7 10-11 3 15 1 0 3 33 34 +4.6
Kent Jackson 40 9-15 9-15 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 27 16 +11.8
BJ Plummer 36 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 11 5 +15.1
Mason Lee 30 3-5 1-1 0-0 9 7 0 0 3 7 15 +5.4
Dalton Gayman 26 3-3 0-0 6-6 2 0 0 0 0 12 11 -1.8
Devin Hines 26 7-9 1-2 1-2 3 0 1 2 1 16 12 -1.2
Nestor Dyachok 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 +7.2
Trey Cady 7 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 1 -1.4
Dante Oliver 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +1.3

* = starter