Model Predictions
| Model | Eastern Kentucky Colonels | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Buttry | 33 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | +4.0 |
| M. Myrick | 28 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | -2.5 |
| Y. Paul | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1.2 |
| M. Williams | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | -3.7 |
| A. Ball | 22 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -1.0 |
| J. Cranford Jr. | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Cooper | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| J. Holt | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -5.8 |
| J. Harris | 11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.2 |
| A. White | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4.5 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Collins | 40 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | +3.6 |
| J. Robinson | 31 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | +2.1 |
| T. McCubbin | 30 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +0.8 |
| R. Marshall | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 14 | +4.0 |
| A. Brookshire | 27 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | -1.0 |
| C. Parker | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +6.3 |
| C. Morisch | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.8 |
| M. Enright | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +0.5 |
| T. Torain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter