๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Bellarmine Knights Lipscomb Bisons Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% - โœ“
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.3 โœ“ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.1% 62.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.8% 78.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“

Actual: Lipscomb Bisons +10 (81-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bellarmine Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Goodin 33 0-6 0-4 5-6 5 0 2 1 1 5 6 -5.2
Jack Karasinski 29 4-10 0-3 8-10 6 2 0 1 0 16 15 -1.6
Tyler Doyle 26 2-8 0-1 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 0 -1.6
Brian Waddell 26 5-8 1-2 2-4 5 0 0 1 0 13 11 -5.5
Sam Donald 16 3-5 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 8 7 +0.8
Donovan Hunter 15 3-9 2-7 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 9 4 -2.7
Darrius Bolden 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 +9.2
Grant Whitaker 11 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 3 -15.1
Grant Neal 8 2-5 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 5 2 +2.8
Jacob Wassler 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 +4.6
Michael Wilson Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -14.5
Tommy Clark 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 4 +7.7
Myles Watkins 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2.6

Lipscomb Bisons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mateo Esmeraldo 31 0-4 0-1 4-4 0 9 0 0 1 4 8 -3.1
Grant Asman 27 6-9 0-3 5-6 8 3 1 2 2 17 20 +3.0
Or Ashkenazi 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 0 9 -0.7
Ethan Duncan 25 9-16 8-13 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 27 16 +3.8
Titas Sargiunas 23 1-4 1-4 4-6 2 1 0 0 6 7 0 -0.3
Charlie Williams 20 4-6 2-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 10 11 +1.7
Kennedy Okpara 18 4-7 0-2 0-4 4 1 0 1 0 8 7 +0.5
Kellan Boylan 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 8 -0.4
Ross Candelino 15 2-5 0-3 0-1 2 3 0 0 0 4 4 +11.1
Cole Middleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter