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2026-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Florida Gulf Coast Eagles Spread Result
Elo 56.2% 43.8% -
Bradley-Terry 62.4% 37.6% -
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -
Points Off/Def 52.3% 47.7% -

Actual: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles -11 (71-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Collins 38 7-14 3-6 8-11 6 4 3 0 4 25 20 +9.5
C. Parker 36 4-10 3-6 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 11 9 +7.8
R. Marshall 35 3-3 0-0 3-6 7 2 2 1 2 9 16 +14.0
T. McCubbin 34 5-16 4-11 1-2 7 1 3 0 1 15 9 +0.5
A. Brookshire 22 2-5 2-4 6-6 1 3 0 0 2 12 9 +4.1
J. Robinson 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 0 4 10 +17.3
M. Enright 10 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 -1.4
C. Morisch 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.2

Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Konieczny 37 7-14 2-7 4-6 8 1 1 0 1 20 15 -6.0
R. Barno 34 1-4 0-0 1-4 6 6 3 0 3 3 11 -13.4
J. Ellerbee 31 6-12 2-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 2 16 9 -0.7
I. Malone 30 2-6 1-1 2-2 7 1 1 2 3 7 9 +4.9
M. Duax 26 5-7 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 12 8 +2.1
R. Stewart 18 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -12.4
D. Williams 10 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 4 -9.5
T. Guillouette 6 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -13.8
J. Reddick 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 +8.2
M. McCarthy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -5.8

* = starter