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2026-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +38.7 โœ“ (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.8% 77.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 2.9% 97.1% - โœ“

Actual: LSU Tigers +53 (108-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chloe Sotell 32 3-12 3-11 2-2 7 2 1 0 0 11 9 -
Grace Slaughter 31 3-12 2-7 6-8 1 0 1 1 6 14 -1 -
Saniah Tyler 30 2-7 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 6 5 -
Abbey Schreacke 26 1-7 1-5 1-3 4 2 0 0 3 4 0 -
Shannon Dowell 26 3-11 1-4 3-5 1 2 0 0 0 10 2 -
Jayla Smith 22 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 5 2 -
Ma'Riya Vincent 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Reka Toman 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Lisa Thompson 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jada Richard 34 4-10 2-5 0-0 4 6 1 0 2 10 9 -
Mikaylah Williams 31 4-15 0-3 4-5 10 4 4 1 4 12 12 -
MiLaysia Fulwiley 28 7-11 6-9 2-2 11 4 2 3 1 22 30 -
ZaKiyah Johnson 28 6-9 0-0 5-5 14 1 0 0 0 17 23 -
Flau'jae Johnson 22 6-15 1-8 3-3 3 4 1 2 4 16 7 -
Bella Hines 22 4-7 3-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 11 11 -
Amiya Joyner 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 12 1 0 0 0 5 12 -
Divine Bourrage 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
Kate Koval 9 4-7 0-0 5-6 7 0 0 0 1 13 12 -

* = starter