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2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 โœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 49.0% 51.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.8% 56.2% - โœ—

Actual: Missouri Tigers -13 (58-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kaitlyn Duhon 33 6-15 2-8 5-5 7 0 4 1 3 19 13 +25.3
Khady Leye 32 6-14 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 13 3 +17.1
Mya Petticord 29 3-12 3-8 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 9 2 +13.2
Harissoum Coulibaly 24 5-12 0-0 1-3 4 1 4 0 2 11 6 +8.7
Angena Belloso 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 3 0 0 5 10 -3.4
Ja'Mia Harris 21 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 3 4 +21.5
A'riel Jackson 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 1 1 3 -1.0
Syriah Daniels 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 1 +0.4
Sania Richardson 8 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 +1.8
Clara Koulibaly 6 1-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 +2.4

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grace Slaughter 38 7-9 1-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 5 19 11 -9.3
Jordana Reisma 31 4-4 1-1 1-2 7 3 0 1 3 10 14 -13.2
Abbey Schreacke 28 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -18.5
Shannon Dowell 25 2-3 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 1 9 7 4 -24.8
Jayla Smith 24 2-4 0-2 2-4 3 1 0 1 3 6 4 +2.5
Saniah Tyler 23 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 2 2 0 4 4 4 +1.9
Chloe Sotell 23 1-5 1-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 3 3 -17.9
Ma'Riya Vincent 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 +2.1
Lisa Thompson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter