Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.3% | 29.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylah Lampley | 32 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Madison Francis | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Favour Nwaedozi | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Trayanna Crisp | 27 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Destiney McPhaul | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Kharyssa Richardson | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Awa Fane | 15 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Chandler Prater | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Melissa Guillet | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Saniyah King | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nataliyah Gray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones | 40 | 7-17 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Emily Robinson | 38 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Bonnie Deas | 34 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Harmonie Ware | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jenna Lawrence | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jada Bates | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maryn Archer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter