Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.5% | 55.5% | +2.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +13 (77-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikaylah Williams * | 37 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 8 | -9.2 |
| Flau'jae Johnson * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | -6.5 |
| Jada Richard * | 30 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | -6.2 |
| Kate Koval * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Grace Knox * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.0 |
| MiLaysia Fulwiley | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 4 | +3.2 |
| Amiya Joyner | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8.9 |
| ZaKiyah Johnson | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Bella Hines | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.2 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Booker * | 39 | 6-21 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | +35.6 |
| Rori Harmon * | 33 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +20.8 |
| Jordan Lee * | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +8.5 |
| Breya Cunningham * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Justice Carlton * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -4.2 |
| Aaliyah Crump | 24 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | +12.8 |
| Kyla Oldacre | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +14.3 |
| Teya Sidberry | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +21.0 |
| Bryanna Preston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +2.0 |
| Ashton Judd | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +0.4 |
* = starter