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2026-02-05

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 19.3% 80.7% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 36.0% 64.0% +3.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% -
Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 24.7% 75.3% -
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +13 (77-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 37 7-11 3-5 3-5 2 1 0 1 5 20 8 -14.7
F. Johnson 34 3-14 1-3 4-4 7 4 2 1 3 11 8 -10.1
J. Richard 30 1-10 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 2 -7 -5.5
M. Fulwiley 23 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 1 6 9 4 -1.8
K. Koval 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 4 7 +3.6
G. Knox 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 6 +6.9
A. Joyner 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -8.8
Z. Johnson 17 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 1 1 0 1 7 10 -0.6
B. Hines 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +2.8

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Booker 39 6-21 1-4 5-6 3 4 1 0 1 18 4 +14.8
R. Harmon 33 4-14 0-0 3-4 1 5 6 0 3 11 6 +14.1
A. Crump 24 7-10 2-2 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 16 12 +13.1
K. Oldacre 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 0 6 10 +5.3
J. Lee 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 2 0 3 3 4 +0.8
B. Cunningham 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 1 4 11 +4.9
J. Carlton 16 2-3 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 1 0 7 6 -4.9
T. Sidberry 16 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 10 10 +15.6
B. Preston 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 +1.3
A. Judd 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -0.0

* = starter