Model Predictions
| Model | Ole Miss Rebels | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (64-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Ole Miss Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debreasha Powe * | 38 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Cotie McMahon * | 33 | 8-21 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Christeen Iwuala * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 22 | -4.9 |
| Sira Thienou * | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Kaitlin Peterson * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -6.5 |
| Latasha Lattimore | 28 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -2.2 |
| Denim DeShields | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +7.1 |
| Tianna Thompson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Jayla Murray | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.9 |
| J'Adore Young | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Timmons * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +6.5 |
| Karly Weathers * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +21.2 |
| Ta'Mia Scott * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Diana Collins * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Naomi Jones * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +11.0 |
| Essence Cody | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Ace Austin | 17 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Waiata Jennings | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Tianna Chambers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Alancia Ramsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter