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2026-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 โœ— (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 5.6% 94.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 12.3% 87.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - โœ—

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -8 (80-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordana Reisma 37 4-5 0-0 1-4 4 4 2 1 2 9 13 +0.8
Grace Slaughter 37 7-12 4-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 18 11 +4.8
Shannon Dowell 29 7-10 0-0 7-7 6 5 0 0 4 21 18 +3.1
Abbey Schreacke 26 5-8 3-6 0-0 3 3 3 0 0 13 14 -3.5
Chloe Sotell 24 2-10 2-9 2-2 3 2 1 0 3 8 1 +8.3
Jayla Smith 20 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 7 7 +6.6
Saniah Tyler 20 5-7 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 12 4 -4.9
Ma'Riya Vincent 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +4.5
Lisa Thompson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trayanna Crisp 35 6-15 6-13 0-0 1 4 1 0 1 18 8 -2.1
Favour Nwaedozi 34 6-10 0-1 0-0 8 1 1 3 1 12 14 +2.4
Kharyssa Richardson 34 8-17 0-1 5-6 5 4 2 0 1 21 14 +0.3
Madison Francis 29 6-13 3-6 2-2 9 2 2 1 2 17 16 -3.3
Destiney McPhaul 29 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 9 0 0 3 2 6 -3.7
Jaylah Lampley 20 3-5 3-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 10 10 +3.2
Saniyah King 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 +3.2
Chandler Prater 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -0.6
Melissa Guillet 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

* = starter