Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.4% | 1.6% | -42.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -37.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -31 (62-93). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lee * | 28 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +8.0 |
| Rori Harmon * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +9.5 |
| Madison Booker * | 26 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | +12.1 |
| Breya Cunningham * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Justice Carlton * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Kyla Oldacre | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 26 | +8.7 |
| Aaliyah Crump | 24 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | +5.4 |
| Teya Sidberry | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +5.8 |
| Bryanna Preston | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -2.7 |
| Ashton Judd | 13 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +4.9 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones * | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | -3.7 |
| Bonnie Deas * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | +3.7 |
| Emily Robinson * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +6.7 |
| Wyvette Mayberry * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Harmonie Ware | 30 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | -10.1 |
| Jada Bates | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Danika Galea | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +0.4 |
| Maria Anais Rodriguez | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -7.3 |
| Maryn Archer | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2.6 |
* = starter