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2026-01-18

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Oklahoma Sooners Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.5% 53.5% -
Margin 86.4% 13.6% -10.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.7% 14.3% -
Log Adjusted 86.0% 14.0% -
Points Off/Def 69.9% 30.1% -

Actual: Oklahoma Sooners -19 (72-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Richard 37 8-16 1-2 4-4 5 3 2 0 1 21 14 +17.6
F. Johnson 34 9-19 3-5 2-2 10 3 1 3 3 23 18 +7.0
M. Williams 32 1-8 0-1 8-8 6 5 0 0 3 10 10 +1.7
K. Koval 25 3-4 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 0 2 9 14 +15.3
M. Fulwiley 22 3-10 0-1 6-7 6 2 3 1 0 12 14 +23.1
G. Knox 20 4-8 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 1 3 13 6 +6.0
Z. Johnson 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 5 +12.6
A. Joyner 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 -11.7
B. Hines 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.8
M. Yarnevich 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1
D. Bourrage 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

Oklahoma Sooners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Vann 34 2-12 1-4 2-2 6 7 1 1 3 7 7 +6.2
P. Verhulst 34 7-17 5-11 2-2 3 3 3 0 2 21 11 -5.1
A. Chavez 32 3-14 3-9 2-2 3 2 0 1 4 11 -1 -4.6
S. Williams 28 4-12 2-5 2-4 6 6 1 1 3 12 11 -2.8
R. Beers 27 5-8 0-2 0-2 11 1 0 2 0 10 16 +11.7
C. Smith 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 2 0 -13.2
E. Tolan 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 2 -9.5
B. Stewart 11 4-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 6 -5.9
K. Lofton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -11.9

* = starter