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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Margin 25.9% 74.1% +5.8 โœ“ (19.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers +25 (94-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taleyah Jones 35 8-16 3-9 3-3 6 4 2 1 5 22 14 -19.4
Emily Robinson 33 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 3 -2 -22.4
Wyvette Mayberry 26 3-8 2-6 2-2 2 1 2 0 1 10 6 -16.6
Jada Bates 24 1-6 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -2.6
Harmonie Ware 19 3-6 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 8 3 -3.1
Bonnie Deas 18 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 0 2 0 2 2 -1 -4.1
Ashlynn Chlarson 15 5-8 1-1 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 14 11 -5.0
Danika Galea 15 1-6 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 3 0 -9.9
Jenna Lawrence 11 0-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 4 5 -5.0
C. Sanchez Cerqueira 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -7.4

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chloe Sotell 38 5-11 4-10 2-2 6 7 3 0 0 16 21 +22.9
Grace Slaughter 34 6-14 1-4 4-6 12 3 0 0 3 17 15 +22.6
Abbey Schreacke 33 2-6 1-5 1-1 8 4 3 0 1 6 14 +17.5
Jordana Reisma 30 8-12 2-3 3-6 4 1 0 0 1 21 13 +27.6
Shannon Dowell 22 6-6 1-1 4-6 2 1 3 0 6 17 11 +6.6
Saniah Tyler 21 4-4 3-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 11 11 +10.3
Ma'Riya Vincent 9 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 1 1 6 5 +0.5
Reka Toman 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.2
Lisa Thompson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter