Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lee | 40 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +14.2 |
| M. Booker | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 12 | +8.2 |
| R. Harmon | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | +18.3 |
| K. Oldacre | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | +3.5 |
| B. Preston | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +1.1 |
| J. Carlton | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.8 |
| A. Judd | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.8 |
| B. Cunningham | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.9 |
| T. Sidberry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.2 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 38 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | -4.1 |
| A. Joyner | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -2.3 |
| F. Johnson | 28 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +4.2 |
| J. Richard | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +4.5 |
| M. Fulwiley | 24 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Z. Johnson | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +5.4 |
| G. Knox | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -7.7 |
| K. Koval | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| B. Hines | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter