Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | -10.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers +5 (70-65). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lee * | 40 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 2 | +5.6 |
| Madison Booker * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 12 | +13.0 |
| Rori Harmon * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -6.9 |
| Justice Carlton * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Breya Cunningham * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.1 |
| Kyla Oldacre | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | +5.5 |
| Bryanna Preston | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Ashton Judd | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +1.4 |
| Teya Sidberry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.3 |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikaylah Williams * | 38 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +18.4 |
| Amiya Joyner * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +6.0 |
| Flau'jae Johnson * | 28 | 4-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +5.4 |
| Jada Richard * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Grace Knox * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +12.0 |
| MiLaysia Fulwiley | 24 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -1 | +8.2 |
| ZaKiyah Johnson | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Kate Koval | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Bella Hines | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter