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2026-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Margin 2.5% 97.5% +20.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.8% 86.2% - โœ“

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +29 (77-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taleyah Jones 31 4-7 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 1 0 9 7 -15.6
Harmonie Ware 29 3-11 0-2 2-4 6 2 0 1 2 8 4 -13.9
Bonnie Deas 22 3-8 1-2 2-2 8 2 1 0 1 9 11 -8.2
Emily Robinson 21 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 4 3 0 3 4 7 -5.4
Wyvette Mayberry 20 1-7 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -5 -9.7
Ashlynn Chlarson 18 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 3 1 -2.1
Jada Bates 15 2-6 0-2 1-4 3 0 0 0 1 5 1 -0.2
Jenna Lawrence 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -13.1
Maria Anais Rodriguez 12 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 5 1 -10.0
Danika Galea 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -7.2
Maryn Archer 6 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -6.3
C. Sanchez Cerqueira 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -2.8

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Diana Collins 30 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 10 10 +13.6
Jessica Timmons 25 4-11 1-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 9 4 +8.8
Karly Weathers 23 3-9 2-6 0-0 6 6 0 0 0 8 11 +19.5
Essence Cody 22 5-10 1-3 4-4 4 0 3 0 3 15 9 +21.5
Ta'Mia Scott 21 6-10 4-6 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 16 12 +12.2
Ace Austin 18 0-6 0-2 1-2 4 2 3 0 1 1 3 +4.2
Waiata Jennings 17 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 6 +11.4
Alancia Ramsey 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 7 +14.1
Naomi Jones 15 0-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 1 3 -2.5
Lourdes Da Silva Costa 6 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 1 -2.7
Joy Egbuna 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.6
Tianna Chambers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.8

* = starter