Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Lady Tigers -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman | 37 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Alaina Payne | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +3.7 |
| Mya Cotto | 34 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Brenna Burk | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Taelor Coxford | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.0 |
| Destinee Salgado | 16 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -10 | -4.2 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Pearson McVay | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.7 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.5 |
| Ashley Lester | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Blessing Teamer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Whitfield | 34 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +2.7 |
| A. Webb | 34 | 3-21 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -6 | -5.2 |
| S. Kamara | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +6.2 |
| Brianna Wooldridge | 25 | 0-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +10.0 |
| G. Harris | 23 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -0.6 |
| E. Martin | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | +0.0 |
| K. Roberts | 14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.6 |
| L. Lancaster | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
| I. Thomas | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
* = starter