Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -15 (53-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenna Burk | 38 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +15.1 |
| Jordan Holman | 36 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 17 | +16.6 |
| Mya Cotto | 30 | 2-19 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -4 | +18.3 |
| Alaina Payne | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | +16.5 |
| Destinee Salgado | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +17.9 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | +3.8 |
| Taelor Coxford | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.3 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Pearson McVay | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Blessing Teamer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittani Wells | 39 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | -11.3 |
| Kenley McCarn | 37 | 2-16 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -18.8 |
| Sidni Middleton | 29 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -13.3 |
| Norah Clark | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -7.4 |
| Grace Billington | 21 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -7.2 |
| Zakheria Thompson | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -1.3 |
| Camden Ward | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4.4 |
| Yar Tong | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10.2 |
| Kennedy Horton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Sidney Blackwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Nyjha Webster | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.3 |
* = starter