Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.3% | 12.7% | -10.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -16 (59-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nicastro | 40 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 32 | +14.4 |
| A. Meadows | 39 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Koby Reed | 34 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.6 |
| A. Brownfield | 33 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | +10.7 |
| M. Shetley | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | +14.9 |
| M. Davis | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.2 |
| S. Skrobot | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaina Payne | 39 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +0.9 |
| Brenna Burk | 36 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Jordan Holman | 31 | 6-20 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -5.6 |
| Mya Cotto | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Destinee Salgado | 23 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.8 |
| Ashley Lester | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Taelor Coxford | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.7 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Pearson McVay | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Blessing Teamer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter