Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.6% | 70.4% | +4.8 | ✓ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +26 (71-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiki Roberts | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -15.2 |
| Genesis Harris | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | -28.3 |
| Aaniya Webb | 27 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -18.2 |
| X. Whitfield | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -18.7 |
| Icesis Thomas | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5.8 |
| Brianna Wooldridge | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14.4 |
| Sadie Sanchez | 15 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | -5.4 |
| Erin Martin | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -16.8 |
| Laila Lancaster | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -6 | -7.1 |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Stoller | 30 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +14.2 |
| S. Desroches | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | +12.5 |
| Clara Glad | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +11.7 |
| Meioshe Mason | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | +12.4 |
| Tiny Lewis | 24 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | +19.6 |
| Alanna Phillipo | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +17.6 |
| Kennedy Davis | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Ella Lune | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +19.7 |
| Nyah Hardy | 12 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Olivia Thostenson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
* = starter