Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Lady Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +37 (76-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Lady Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianna Wooldridge | 29 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -32.3 |
| A. Webb | 25 | 2-13 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -24.8 |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -13.9 |
| K. Roberts | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -10.1 |
| E. Martin | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -12.2 |
| X. Whitfield | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -14.7 |
| G. Harris | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -9.2 |
| S. Sanchez | 16 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -20.9 |
| I. Thomas | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +0.2 |
| L. Lancaster | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -13.3 |
| S. Kamara | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.1 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Holman | 33 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +22.0 |
| Mya Cotto | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Brenna Burk | 24 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +5.0 |
| Destinee Salgado | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +8.1 |
| Alaina Payne | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +9.8 |
| Jarahle Daniels | 16 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +11.5 |
| Pearson McVay | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | +26.9 |
| Blessing Teamer | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +23.7 |
| Ashley Lester | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +21.0 |
| Lidia Belmonte Hurtado | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +23.9 |
| Taelor Coxford | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +11.1 |
| Naomi Smitherman | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -2.3 |
* = starter