Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -22 (59-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Marshall | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Chase Dawson | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +16.4 |
| Jon Carroll | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 23 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Davion Cunningham | 19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | +11.7 |
| Tyonne Farrell | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Clayton Parker | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.5 |
| Josiah LeGree | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Tamaury Releford | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +8.0 |
| Vince Dawson III | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.9 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Lorenzen | 35 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -2.6 |
| Goanar Biliew | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -20.0 |
| Francis Okwuosah | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -19.4 |
| Danny Stephens | 31 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -11.7 |
| Makai Kvamme | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -20.7 |
| Tyran Cook | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Antwaun Massey | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -10.6 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
| Marcus Pigram | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.4 |
| Ifiok Peter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Nick Hittle | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter