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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 76.2% 23.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% - โœ“
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.9% 45.1% - โœ“

Actual: Little Rock Trojans -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
BJ Ward 34 3-9 1-6 1-2 0 2 0 0 4 8 -3 -2.2
Brendan Terry 33 5-10 0-1 1-4 6 0 1 1 0 11 9 +5.0
Braxton Stacker 31 3-11 0-3 5-7 9 1 0 1 1 11 10 +4.1
Marqueas Bell 26 3-6 0-1 6-7 6 2 1 0 2 12 13 -0.7
Luke Almodovar 23 5-10 3-8 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 13 9 +11.6
Troy Cole Jr. 22 5-7 0-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 10 11 -0.6
Landren Blocker 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 3 +3.5
David Idada 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1
PJ Farmer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +0.8
Blaize Sagna 5 1-2 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 5 5 -1.2

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnathan Lawson 38 3-11 0-4 9-10 5 5 2 2 2 15 16 -
Braxton Bayless 36 1-7 0-2 3-3 8 4 1 0 3 5 8 -8.7
Tuongthach Gatkek 34 5-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 4 1 10 12 -6.9
Cameron Wallace 31 4-10 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 10 5 -1.0
Kachi Nzeh 28 6-13 1-2 3-4 5 0 3 0 0 16 11 -5.3
Joseph Thomas 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 +7.6
Truman Claytor IV 11 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 6 3 -4.8
Caleb Pennyfeather 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

* = starter