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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 84.8% 15.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 88.6% 11.4% - ✓
Margin 94.1% 5.9% -15.2 ✓ (24.8 off)
Pythagorean 91.1% 8.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 73.4% 26.6% - ✓

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -40 (44-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Filip Petkovski 28 7-11 3-6 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 17 17 +28.2
Damien King 28 2-8 1-5 2-2 6 4 1 0 2 7 8 +7.0
Filip Radaković 23 1-6 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 2 6 6 +15.6
Pedro Santos 22 4-5 1-1 1-2 6 3 4 0 1 10 17 +25.0
Matas Deniusas 21 5-9 1-3 0-0 7 5 3 0 0 11 17 +25.7
Andrija Bukumirović 19 6-9 1-3 1-3 0 3 0 1 0 14 9 +15.6
Vladimir Khryapa 17 3-3 0-0 2-2 1 3 2 1 0 8 12 +23.2
AJ Hopkins 16 2-5 1-4 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 9 6 +15.1
Luca Colceag 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 4 +4.3
Lamine Niang 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 2 4 +5.9

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Goanar Biliew 33 2-3 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 4 -26.1
Isaiah Griffin 28 1-7 0-2 3-4 4 3 3 0 2 5 6 -29.1
Danny Stephens 26 2-8 1-6 1-2 5 2 1 0 3 6 3 -17.2
Lucas Lorenzen 24 2-8 2-6 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 8 -2 -17.8
Makai Kvamme 21 2-9 0-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 -2 -19.1
Francis Okwuosah 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -5.5
Antwaun Massey 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -16.3
Nick Hittle 12 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -7.9
Steven Tipton 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -8.0
Tyran Cook 11 1-5 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4 -9.6
Ifiok Peter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -12.6

* = starter