Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +2 (67-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler King | 33 | 8-15 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | +0.5 |
| Darrion Baker | 29 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3.2 |
| Arnas Sakenis | 28 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | -11.2 |
| Jo Valrie | 25 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Jack Campion | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +7.4 |
| Kyle Thomas | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 13 | -0.6 |
| Jordan Pickett | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Corentin Efono | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| CJ Hall | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.3 |
| D. Robinson Jr. | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.4 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davion Cunningham | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | +3.6 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -6.4 |
| George Marshall | 29 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | +6.0 |
| Chase Dawson | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -3.8 |
| Jon Carroll | 21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | +2.7 |
| Tamaury Releford | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +2.2 |
| Vince Dawson III | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +12.0 |
| Josiah LeGree | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +6.3 |
| Tyonne Farrell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5.4 |
* = starter