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Little Rock Trojans 63
@
Tennessee State Tigers 70
2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 12.3% 87.7% - ✓
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.8% 71.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% - ✓

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnathan Lawson 38 6-13 4-8 0-0 2 2 3 1 3 16 8 -10.3
Kachi Nzeh 37 3-11 2-8 0-1 5 0 1 1 2 8 2 -7.8
Braxton Bayless 37 5-16 1-5 2-2 5 3 2 0 3 13 4 -3.6
Tuongthach Gatkek 34 3-4 0-1 4-4 10 0 2 1 2 10 17 +5.1
Cameron Wallace 34 6-14 0-1 1-1 8 3 1 0 2 13 9 +0.3
Caleb Pennyfeather 11 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 2 -3.7
Truman Claytor IV 9 1-5 0-3 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -9.8

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Nkrumah 36 5-12 2-5 10-12 8 6 5 0 2 22 27 +11.8
Jalen Pitre 36 5-7 0-0 0-3 9 2 2 1 3 10 14 +3.9
Dante Harris 34 2-8 0-2 1-2 4 6 0 0 1 5 6 +3.8
Travis Harper II 31 7-11 2-5 0-0 8 3 0 0 4 16 12 +10.0
Carlous Williams 23 5-7 1-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 1 14 6 +11.2
Antoine Lorick III 18 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -5.5
Damon Howard Jr 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 +3.6
Khalil London 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -8.1
Kavien Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.9
Jabrion Spikes 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.0

* = starter