Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 40 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | -4.4 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -0.8 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -1.1 |
| Braxton Bayless | 31 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -6.6 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 28 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Cameron Wallace | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.1 |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Almodovar | 35 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +0.2 |
| BJ Ward | 35 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Brendan Terry | 32 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Braxton Stacker | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +0.1 |
| Landren Blocker | 19 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +1.3 |
| Marqueas Bell | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 10 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | +3.8 |
| PJ Farmer | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Elliot Lowndes | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Blaize Sagna | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
| David Idada | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
* = starter