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2026-01-20

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 31.4% 68.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - ✓
Margin 40.4% 59.6% +2.1 ✓ (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Points Off/Def 48.3% 51.7% - ✓

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks +16 (66-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrija Bukumirović 29 1-4 0-1 2-6 14 1 1 0 2 4 14 -29.3
Filip Petkovski 28 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 4 1 -18.5
Afan Trnka 24 1-6 1-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -3 -6.6
Matas Deniusas 23 4-10 0-2 3-4 6 0 0 1 2 11 6 -6.1
Pedro Santos 21 2-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 5 3 -13.5
Vladimir Khryapa 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 0 -1 -20.1
AJ Hopkins 16 2-6 2-6 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 +7.0
Lamine Niang 13 2-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -3.1
Luca Colceag 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 4 -9.1
Damien King 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 5 6 +8.7
Ty Price 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 +7.9

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brendan Terry 28 2-3 0-1 4-8 8 6 0 0 2 8 17 +27.4
Braxton Stacker 27 5-11 2-7 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 14 4 +33.3
Marqueas Bell 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 4 3 0 2 2 9 +28.3
Luke Almodovar 24 8-13 6-10 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 22 10 +17.6
BJ Ward 20 2-8 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 +8.0
Blaize Sagna 17 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.8
Landren Blocker 13 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 -8.8
PJ Farmer 13 2-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -10.7
Troy Cole Jr. 13 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 3 +7.3
Elliot Lowndes 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 5 6 +7.1
David Idada 9 0-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 0 4 -15.8
Jay Reynolds 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -4.9

* = starter