Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karyiek Dixon | 38 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Lucas Lorenzen | 37 | 8-16 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 36 | 9-21 | 3-4 | 7-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 9 | -5.0 |
| Makai Kvamme | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Ifiok Peter | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Goanar Biliew | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7.6 |
| Francis Okwuosah | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.6 |
| Danny Stephens | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Nick Hittle | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Bayless | 38 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +6.3 |
| Cameron Wallace | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | +3.6 |
| Johnathan Lawson | 37 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | -1.4 |
| Kachi Nzeh | 31 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | +0.7 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Truman Claytor IV | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.6 |
* = starter