Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.8% | 18.2% | -8.3 | ✗ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +15 (78-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleyah Jones | 37 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -4 | -21.0 |
| Wyvette Mayberry | 35 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Emily Robinson | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -13.7 |
| Harmonie Ware | 25 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | -14.6 |
| Bonnie Deas | 22 | 2-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Ashlynn Chlarson | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Jenna Lawrence | 18 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -19.0 |
| Jada Bates | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Maryn Archer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3.7 |
| C. Sanchez Cerqueira | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyla Deck | 34 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +10.6 |
| Paulina Paris | 27 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | +8.3 |
| Tyi Skinner | 27 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 18 | +11.5 |
| Sahnya Jah | 26 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11 | +28.5 |
| Miriam Ibezim | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | +1.1 |
| Zahra King | 22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +9.7 |
| Ayanna Thompson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Jzaniya Harriel | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +15.2 |
| Anaya Brown | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +6.9 |
| Grace Hall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +1.8 |
* = starter