Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Vanderbilt Commodores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +14.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +13 (81-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson * | 40 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Paris Clark * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jillian Brown * | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tabitha Amanze * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Romi Levy * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Caitlin Weimar | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Adeang Ring | 18 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Gabby White | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Raiane Dias Dos Santos | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danelle Arigbabu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikayla Blakes * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 12-13 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Aubrey Galvan * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Justine Pissott * | 38 | 3-15 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda * | 29 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Sacha Washington * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Aiyana Mitchell | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jada Brown | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aga Makurat | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter