Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns -19 (69-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thijs De Ridder | 28 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 6-9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +18.1 |
| Dallin Hall | 27 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Sam Lewis | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +21.3 |
| Ugonna Onyenso | 21 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +11.0 |
| Chance Mallory | 20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +11.5 |
| Devin Tillis | 20 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Malik Thomas | 18 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Johann Grünloh | 17 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +7.2 |
| Jacari White | 14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +12.4 |
| Carter Lang | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Elijah Gertrude | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Martin Carrere | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Desmond Roberts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Owen Odom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain | 32 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 20 | -8.7 |
| Jordan Pope | 27 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Tramon Mark | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Matas Vokietaitis | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -16.6 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -14.4 |
| Chendall Weaver | 20 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Lassina Traore | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Camden Heide | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -9.8 |
| Nic Codie | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -7.7 |
| Declan Duru Jr. | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +5.9 |
* = starter