Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | -9.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -7 (75-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Jackson | 38 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 35 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 7-11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Griman | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Martel Williams | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bradey Henige | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Thomas Ndong | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devon Malcolm | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Rene D'Amelio | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Muller | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Miles Daniels | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Duval | 36 | 11-17 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Jaiden Feroah | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kai Burdick | 31 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Cale Barclay | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 25 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Dylan Jones | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Logan Stephens | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brayden Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chuks Isitua | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Langston Binns | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter