Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Tarleton State Texans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.1% | 50.9% | +0.2 | ✗ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tarleton State Texans -5 (60-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lowery | 36 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Raysean Seamster | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Casmir Chavis | 29 | 8-13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Jackson | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Bahsil Laster | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 20 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Amari Reed | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tyran Mason | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 9 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Miles Goodman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hicks | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Mizell | 32 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Johnson | 30 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Leroy Kelly Iv | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mpaka | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| O. Owens | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| K. Isaac | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kade Douglas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Dj Dormu | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter