Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +15 (82-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 29 | 7-17 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | -4.0 |
| Jordan Mizell | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Dj Dormu | 27 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | -7.7 |
| F. Hicks | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Chris Mpaka | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -11.2 |
| O. Owens | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | -5.4 |
| K. Isaac | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Andy Sigiscar | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Damion Porter Jr. | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Kade Douglas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -7.8 |
| Cam Thomas | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Roy Marom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Joseph Martinez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 37 | 7-19 | 4-11 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 8 | +11.7 |
| Martel Williams | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +4.4 |
| Jayden Jackson | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +12.5 |
| Jonathan Griman | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Thomas Ndong | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Bradey Henige | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Miles Daniels | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +11.5 |
| Devon Malcolm | 14 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +17.5 |
| Jordan Muller | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -6.4 |
| Jalen Dollar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.9 |
| Rene D'Amelio | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter