Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.6% | 79.4% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Casmir Chavis | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Miles Goodman | 28 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tyran Mason | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Lowery | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Raysean Seamster | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bahsil Laster | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Cameron Jackson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jayden Smoot | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Amari Reed | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. | 39 | 11-22 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Martel Williams | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jonathan Griman | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Jayden Jackson | 31 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Bradey Henige | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Ndong | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Miles Daniels | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Devon Malcolm | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Muller | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Nate Garcia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter