Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -12 (54-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Holcombe | 36 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | +9.6 |
| Trevan Leonhardt | 36 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +13.5 |
| Braden Housley | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.7 |
| Isaac Davis | 25 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +16.6 |
| Tyler Hendricks | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +5.8 |
| Isaac Hawkins | 17 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -11.1 |
| Hayden Welling | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -8.0 |
| Tyler Weaver | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcell McCreary | 35 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | -1.2 |
| Miles Goodman | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Jordan Lowery | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Casmir Chavis | 26 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | -2.7 |
| Raysean Seamster | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| Bahsil Laster | 24 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5.9 |
| Tyran Mason | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Amari Reed | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7.4 |
| Jayden Smoot | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter