Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Abilene Christian Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Abilene Christian Wildcats +4 (87-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst | 35 | 5-9 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +12.3 |
| Jaiden Feroah | 33 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +14.7 |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | +4.0 |
| Elijah Duval | 28 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 7 | +9.1 |
| Dylan Jones | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -12.2 |
| Logan Stephens | 22 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 13 | -1.0 |
| Kai Burdick | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +6.0 |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Cale Barclay | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Brayden Johnson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Abilene Christian Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chilaydrien Newton | 35 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | -4.6 |
| B. Hubbard | 27 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | -5.1 |
| R. Smith | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 20 | -1.2 |
| C. Hornecker | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Joseph Venzant | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Y. Rivera | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -9.0 |
| Z. Wright | 17 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +2.8 |
| C. Alston | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Hill | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4.4 |
| I. Dye | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
* = starter