Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Hayhurst | 38 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Isaiah Cottrell | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jaiden Feroah | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Jones | 27 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Kai Burdick | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Elijah Duval | 22 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Logan Stephens | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Cale Barclay | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raysean Seamster | 33 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Marcell McCreary | 31 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Casmir Chavis | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Goodman | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Rigsby Jr. | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tyran Mason | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Smoot | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bahsil Laster | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Lowery | 11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cameron Jackson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Amari Reed | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
* = starter